Where's the Corn?

By: James LombardoJuly 12, 2012 12:02pm CDT 8288


It’s no surprise that the current drought and heat wave that is plaguing the country is having a severe impact on the corn markets. Since June 22, Dec corn has rallied nearly $2 a bushel as of yesterday’s high. The July USDA report yesterday slashed corn yields from 166 bushels an acre in June’s report, to 146 bushels. Ending stocks for 2012/13 drop from Junes 1.881 Bil Bushel to July’s 1.183 Bil bushel. The report was bullish for corn, despite the cut in demand. Shortly after the report Dec corn rallied to its high of 7.480 before retreating to a low of 6.852, and finally settling at 7.040. Rumorville was in full effect as many traders expected the EPA to cut the ethanol mandate lower, and traders started booking profits as a reaction.

This morning Dec corn is up 24 cents. The weather shows limited rain in the forecast for the Corn Belt. Many traders who joined the sidelines yesterday are back in. Yesterday’s low was on target with last Thurs and Fri’s lows. The market gapped higher from July 3rd 6744 close to July 5th open at 6890. That gap wasn’t filled yesterday although remains a strong area of support. Sell off in corn is seen as good buying opportunities. As long as moisture is limited in the Corn Belt, look for pullbacks as entry points.


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